Sample Latent Profile Analysis Audit

This synthetic audit compares covariance assumptions, model stability, and two ways to estimate differences in persistence. The generating model used three overlapping profiles with correlated indicators. The fitted models may recover a different structure.

Analysis sample and missingness

Of 600 simulated cases, 380 had all six indicators. The achieved missing-cell rate was 8.22%. The mask depends on observed stress by design. In a diagnostic regression, the estimated log odds of any missing indicator changed by 0.899 per unit of stress. Observed associations assess plausibility. Neither descriptive checks nor Little’s test alone establish MCAR or MAR. Complete cases provide a common comparison sample here. Deletion under MAR can change the target population and estimates.

Model fit

BIC, AIC, SABIC and classification-based ICL use the lower-is-better convention. The one-component covariance aliases are shown under both grid labels. BLRT was omitted. Bootstrap LRT interpretation depends on sample size and a mixture reference distribution.

Structure K LogLik AIC BIC
EEI 1 -3671.9414001881 7367.8828003761 7415.1648554088
EEI 2 -3345.7967597969 6729.5935195939 6804.4567733956
EEI 3 -3261.6618444566 6575.3236889131 6677.7681414839
EEI 4 -3218.1942882966 6502.3885765931 6632.4142279329
EEI 5 -3170.3225449758 6420.6450899515 6578.2519400604
EEI 6 -3151.150498259 6396.300996518 6581.4890453958
VVI 1 -3671.9414001881 7367.8828003761 7415.1648554088
VVI 2 -3330.9685858947 6711.9371717894 6810.4414531074
VVI 3 -3245.0267007506 6566.0534015013 6715.7799091047
VVI 4 -3192.3066036243 6486.6132072485 6687.5619411373
VVI 5 -3154.4826687829 6436.9653375658 6689.1362977399
VVI 6 -3129.0243069576 6412.0486139151 6715.4418003746
EEE 1 -3128.9856402749 6311.9712805498 6418.3559043732
EEE 2 -3112.2597795494 6292.5195590988 6426.4853816913
EEE 3 -3092.1891265516 6266.3782531032 6427.9252744647
EEE 4 -3076.420910891 6248.841821782 6437.9700419126
EEE 5 -3068.8115375708 6247.6230751415 6464.3324940412
EEE 6 -3061.6904981259 6247.3809962518 6491.6716139204
VVV 1 -3128.9856402749 6311.9712805498 6418.3559043732
VVV 2 -3075.8786080451 6261.7572160902 6478.4666349898
VVV 3 -3043.0770243884 6252.1540487768 6579.1882627526
VVV 4 -3014.6093935783 6251.2187871566 6688.5777962086
VVV 5 -2963.2025748559 6204.4051497118 6752.0889538399
VVV 6 -2942.0744084375 6218.148816875 6876.1574160793

Additional information criteria

Structure K SABIC ICL BLRT p
EEI 1 7377.0912017152 7415.1648554088 Not computed
EEI 2 6744.1734883808 6844.9572038483 Not computed
EEI 3 6595.2752251479 6768.6587425232 Not computed
EEI 4 6527.7116802757 6730.2800933335 Not computed
EEI 5 6451.3397610819 6703.6765367096 Not computed
EEI 6 6432.3672350961 6717.0052141841 Not computed
VVI 1 7377.0912017152 7415.1648554088 Not computed
VVI 2 6731.1213412458 6850.8157952359 Not computed
VVI 3 6595.2133390751 6793.8318202846 Not computed
VVI 4 6525.7489129397 6774.9165047132 Not computed
VVI 5 6486.0768113743 6796.7538062062 Not computed
VVI 6 6471.135855841 6826.5474763666 Not computed
EEE 1 6332.6901835627 6418.3559043732 Not computed
EEE 2 6318.6100295596 6504.4235887673 Not computed
EEE 3 6297.8402910118 6560.4384781843 Not computed
EEE 4 6285.6754271385 6560.6638808734 Not computed
EEE 5 6289.8282479458 6605.4625309117 Not computed
EEE 6 6294.9577365038 6670.3061411841 Not computed
VVV 1 6332.6901835627 6418.3559043732 Not computed
VVV 2 6303.9623888944 6554.0040769165 Not computed
VVV 3 6315.8454913723 6690.3971694429 Not computed
VVV 4 6336.3964995433 6747.770119415 Not computed
VVV 5 6311.0691318898 6837.5013023752 Not computed
VVV 6 6346.2990688441 6947.246740102 Not computed

Classification and stability

Entropy of 0.80 and minimum AvePP of 0.70 are contextual guides to classification precision. Entropy is undefined for one profile. Class size is based on modal assignment. Each multi-profile fit starts from a hierarchical initialization and eight seeded random-center partitions. A repeat is a converged solution within 0.001 log likelihood units of the best converged fit. Repeated likelihoods do not establish a global optimum.

Covariance K Entropy Min AvePP Min class % Min class n
EEI 1 Not computed 1 100 380
EEI 2 0.84336536128 0.93664481555 40 152
EEI 3 0.78604750633 0.87281755327 20.5263157895 78
EEI 4 0.80585193631 0.81385626042 12.1052631579 46
EEI 5 0.79272222469 0.83128616323 12.1052631579 46
EEI 6 0.79286316318 0.82770953784 7.1052631579 27
VVI 1 Not computed 1 100 380
VVI 2 0.84975606304 0.93933922402 39.2105263158 149
VVI 3 0.81205548109 0.89713166672 18.6842105263 71
VVI 4 0.81719562481 0.86533643929 11.3157894737 43
VVI 5 0.80880583222 0.84634823355 11.0526315789 42
VVI 6 0.82344021898 0.85419838964 5.7894736842 22
EEE 1 Not computed 1 100 380
EEE 2 0.70134017873 0.85389341063 27.3684210526 104
EEE 3 0.66951151896 0.83040589665 28.1578947368 107
EEE 4 0.75168272041 0.84735855793 11.0526315789 42
EEE 5 0.75475829683 0.74327904024 8.4210526316 32
EEE 6 0.72569445157 0.7228740252 9.4736842105 36
VVV 1 Not computed 1 100 380
VVV 2 0.70915176812 0.90356905043 42.1052631579 160
VVV 3 0.72411254992 0.76190091094 22.6315789474 86
VVV 4 0.88086935488 0.88041638589 4.2105263158 16
VVV 5 0.85336117088 0.81979071088 6.8421052632 26
VVV 6 0.89095471982 0.79497897342 4.7368421053 18

Start replication and flags

Model K Starts OK Repeats Flags
EEI 1 1 1 1 Clear
EEI 2 9 9 9 Clear
EEI 3 9 9 9 Clear
EEI 4 9 9 3 Clear
EEI 5 9 9 9 Clear
EEI 6 9 9 1 Best likelihood not replicated
VVI 1 1 1 1 Clear
VVI 2 9 9 9 Clear
VVI 3 9 9 8 Clear
VVI 4 9 9 5 Clear
VVI 5 9 9 3 Clear
VVI 6 9 9 1 Best likelihood not replicated; Small modal class
EEE 1 1 1 1 Clear
EEE 2 9 9 6 Clear
EEE 3 9 9 5 Clear
EEE 4 9 9 2 Clear
EEE 5 9 9 1 Best likelihood not replicated
EEE 6 9 9 1 Best likelihood not replicated
VVV 1 1 1 1 Clear
VVV 2 9 9 4 Clear
VVV 3 9 9 2 Clear
VVV 4 9 9 1 Best likelihood not replicated; Small modal class
VVV 5 9 9 1 Best likelihood not replicated
VVV 6 9 9 1 Best likelihood not replicated; Small modal class

Review flagged candidates before interpretation.

  • Some candidates contain a class below 5% or 25 modal assignments. Assess stability in resamples or independent data.

Covariance sensitivity

The table gives the lowest BIC among candidates with no stability flags in each structure. Interpret the comparison alongside the full grid.

covariance K BIC
EEI 5 6578.2519400604
VVV 1 6418.3559043732

BIC by profile count and covariance structure

Three-profile VVV fitted means by engagement indicator

Distal outcome comparison

The demonstration fixes the three-profile VVV solution in advance and orders classes by their average indicator mean. The naive OLS estimates use modal classes and conventional standard errors. BCH inverts the posterior-estimated modal classification matrix and applies the resulting signed weights to class means. Its case bootstrap re-estimates that matrix with the indicator fit fixed. The resulting SE is conditional on that fit and excludes model selection uncertainty. The correction assumes modal assignment and persistence are independent within the true profile. Error is the estimate minus the generating contrast in this one simulation. Sampling and classification both contribute to the difference.

Contrast Target Modal OLS OLS SE OLS error
2 vs 1 0.65 0.46644843556 0.13262823771 -0.18355156444
3 vs 1 1.35 0.93865078055 0.1214126777 -0.41134921945

Corrected contrasts

Contrast BCH estimate Conditional SE BCH error
2 vs 1 0.5725108129 0.18864748999 -0.077489187103
3 vs 1 1.0512551835 0.13320325234 -0.29874481646

Profiles describe patterns of indicators in an analysis sample. Causal mechanisms and discrete latent types require separate evidence.

Method reference Bakk and Vermunt (2016).